After acquiring a vast area of Land and obtaining a Bank loan, I have successfully completed 20 Blocks of 3 Bedroom apartment located in a very good location in Lagos.
Considering the cost of completion of each apartment, I am faced with the challenge of determining the quickest way of offsetting the loan I took from the Bank and also how to make profit from the Business investment decision of building a housing estate.
I therefore need to determine three critical things:
a) Whether to put up the apartment for outright sale, Long lease or to be rented out.
b) Determine the selling price of each apartment for any choice made from (a) above.
c) To make profit from the business investment or at a minimum, recover the cost of Investment.
The first thing I have done is to determine the Cost of Investments by summing up all my cost elements such as Labour Costs, Costs of materials, Cost of the Land, Overhead Costs and other Indirect Costs.
It could be difficult in fixing the price of the apartment considering complexities such as the economy in the country, the customer budget, and prices of other apartments in the neighborhood. So, In order to arrive at a good price for any of my final decisions (sell, rent or lease), I used available pricing tools such as:
- Return on Investment ( ROI)
- Return on Sales ( ROS)
- Break even Analysis.
The tools used assisted in determining the mark-up amount by studying the current market trends and determining the amount to be added to the cost to make adequate profit.
With the tools used, it will take a longer period to recover my cost if I have to rent out the apartments or take a long lease.
Considering the available alternatives, based on the analysis and considerations carried out, I would decide the SELL the 3 bed apartments hoping to offset the loan from the bank and to make an appreciable profit. Continual analysis and monitoring will be carried out periodically to determine if it is most viable to keep selling, otherwise, other options like leasing or renting may be reviewed as the next option.
References
- Chapter 2, Skills and Knowledge of Cost Engineering. 5th Edition Revised.
- Jelen, F.C. and J.H Black.1983. Cost and Optimization Engineering. New York: McGraw Hill
- Chapter 38, Project management using Earned Value, pp 749 - 753. Humprey and Associates.
- GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide. Best Practices for developing and managing capital Program Costs
- Engineering Economy,14th Edition, Page 27,Table 1-1
Hmmmmm....... OK posting, Lanre...... Surely not up to your usual standard.... You started out really great- the topic you picked is about as appropriate as you could possibly have selected. But then you fizzled out on me!!!
ReplyDeleteYou did a great job on identifying the feasible alternatives but I see no spreadsheet that shows the cash flows for each alternative.....
You did identify three criterion, but no numbers to back them up.
There was no comparison of the alternatives using any of the tools referenced.
Yes, you did come up with the preferred alternative, but if I were your wife or business partner, I would be highly skeptical of your decision based on what you have shown me.
Bottom line on this, I am REJECTING this posting and asking that you revise it and repost as W6.1 showing the calculations you did (you can disguise or fake the numbers if information is confidential) but the most important part is to see which tools and techniques you use and which ones you might have missed that you COULD or SHOULD have used. (HINT: I think if you skimmed through the reference materials provided, you would find better tools to use in determining the price other than the three you identified.)
For future postings, I will still be looking for you to follow the step by step process, but the emphasis is going to be on Steps 3, 4 5 as the justification for Step 6. I will also be looking for evidence that you addressed the monitoring and controlling in Step 7, but the focus is going to be on Steps 3-6.
Wassalam.....
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta