WK7 _Tony_Deciding on best use of my building
Problem Definition
I am putting up a building and there are several uses to which the building can be put. I need to take a decision on the best use for the building.
Proposed Alternatives/Solutions
1. Reside in the building with my family
2. Let out the building for a rental income
3. Sell the building for a profit
Quantitative and Qualitative Analysis of Alternatives
Option 1
I currently live in a rented apartment. The rent I pay is $4,605 pa, maintenance for 1st year was $2,302, subsequent years 10% i.e $460. The landlord increased the rent this year to $5,263. To reside in the building I am constructing I will save what I am currently paying as rent and part of the maintenance cost as the building will still be new. I will also be free from continual rent increase by the landlord, inconvenience of sharing limited facilities with neighbours and will have privacy. Yearly rent savings will be 5,263 + 10% (maint) = $5789.3. I will however drive longer distance to work but will enjoy the comfort of the new home as it was designed to taste. If the savings remain at this level it will take 23 years to recoup my investment in the property. The invested sum is shown in Option 2 below
Option 2
This option requires me to remain in my present rented apartment and earn a rental income from the new building. Data supporting this option are as follows:
Cost of land/fence $24,342
Cost of construction $100,000
Interest on borrowed funds $6,578
Total cost of project $130,920
Going rent $6,578pa: 20 years to recoup investment, keeping rent constant.
Annual maintenance is 10% of rental income: $658
Net rental income: 6,578 – 658 = $5,920
The apartment is near my office so I walk to & from the office. I will miss the comfort, convenience and privacy of the new home.
Option 3
This option involves selling off the completed building to earn a profit on the investment. I will remain in my present rented apartment.
Data supporting this option are:
Cost of project as in Alternative 2: $130, 920
Going selling price $177,632
Consider a 20yr period as in lease option, yearly income ignoring the interest on the received money, is $8,881
Investment is recouped within a year. I will miss the comfort, convenience and privacy of the new home. I will also be exposed to continual rent increases by the landlord of my rented apartment
Selection Criteria
1. Yearly income
2. Comfort & Convenience
3. Distance from office
4. Time to recoup investment
5. Privacy
Analysis & comparison of alternatives
The comparative analysis will be done using the additive weighting technique. Additive weighting is probably the most popular single-dimensional method because it includes both the performance ratings and the importance weights of each attribute when evaluating alternatives [1]. Furthermore, it produces recommendations that tend to agree with the intuitive feel of the decision maker concerning the best alternative [2]. The technique uses importance weights established from ordinal ranking of the attributes as shown in table 2 and nondimensional values of the attributes. The nondimensional values are established using the following formulas;
Rating = Worst outcome-outcome being made dimensionless - when low values are best [3]
Worst outcome-Worst outcome
Rating = Worst outcome-outcome being made dimensionless - when high values are best [4]
Worst outcome-Worst outcome
Summarised below are the base data for the various options.
Attributes | Option 1- Reside in Bldg | Option 2: Lease Building | Option 3: Sell Building |
Yearly income/savings | $5,789 | $5,920 | $8,881 |
Comfort & Convenience | Excellent | Fair | Fair |
Distance from Office | 5km | 0.5km | 0.5km |
Time to recoup investment | 23years | 20years | 1year |
Privacy | Excellent | Fair | Fair |
Table 1
Ordinal Ranking of attributes
Comfort & convenience >yearly income
Comfort & convenience>distance from office
Comfort & convenience>privacy
Comfort & convenience>time to recoup investment
Privacy>yearly income
Privacy>distance from office
Privacy>time to recoup investment
Yearly income>distance from office
Yearly income>time to recoup investment
Time to recoup investment>distance from office
Ranking: Comfort =4; Privacy = 3; Yearly income = 2; Time to recoup investmt = 1; distance from office = 0
Nondimensional scaling of attributes
Attribute Value Rating Procedure Dimensionless Value
Yearly income $5,789 yearly inc – 5,789/3,092 0.0 (opt 1)
5,920 0.04 (opt 2)
8,881 1.00 (opt 3)
Comfort Excellent (comforta – 1)/2 1.0 (opt 1)
Fair 0.0 (opt 2)
Fair 0.0 (opt 3)
Distance fr off. 5km (5 – dist)/4.5 0.0 (opt 1)
0.5km 1.0 (opt 2)
0.5km 1.0 (opt 3)
Time to recoup 23yrs (23-time to recoup)22 0.0 (opt 1)
20 0.14 (opt 2)
1 1.0 (opt 3)
Privacy Excellent (Privacyb-1)/2 1.0 (opt 1)
Fair 0.0 (opt 2)
Fair 0.0 (opt 3)
a. Scale of 1-3 use. 3 –excellent, 2-good, 1-fair
b. Ditto
Attribute | Relative rankc | Normalised weight (A) | Option 1 (B) (A xB) | Option 2 (B) (AxB) | Option 3 (B) (AxB) |
Yearly income | 3 | 3/15 = 0.2 | 0.0 0.00 | 0.04 0.008 | 1.0 0.20 |
Comfort | 5 | 5/15 = 0.33 | 1.0 0.33 | 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.00 |
Distance | 1 | 1/15 = 0.07 | 0.0 0.00 | 1.0 0.07 | 1.0 0.07 |
Time | 2 | 2/15 = 0.13 | 0.0 0.00 | 0.14 0.018 | 1.0 0.13 |
Privacy | 4 | 4/15 = 0.27 | 1.0 0.27 | 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.00 |
Sum | 15 | | 0.60 | 0.096 | 0.40 |
Table 2: Additive weighting technique
C –relative rank = ordinal rank + 1. Highest rank, best
B – Dimensionless value of attributes
Selection of Best Option
The decision on best option is based on the comparative analysis done using the additive weighting technique. When using the technique the option or alternative with the highest weighted score is the best option. From Table 2 above, that option is option 1 (score 0.60) which is to reside in the building with my family. Comfort and privacy are very important to me and they weighed heavily in this decision. The technique gave a recommendation that agreed with my intuitive feel. This is what I like most about the technique.
Performance monitoring and Post Evaluation
1. Maintain very well the new building so as to retain the value and hence continued comfort
2. Have good security personnel to maintain privacy
References
1. Engineering Economy -15th Edition.14.7.2-Additive weighting techniques
2. Ibid
3. Engineering Economy -15th Edition.14.7.1-Nondimensional scaling
4. Ibid
Good Job tony....Similar to what i wrote in my last blog and my cce paper....The only clause i have with this method is that it is very subjective and from the begining of your analysis, you can already forsee the end....Maybe,it will be better for a group to use this method as against an individual that can solve the question from the answer.
ReplyDeleteVery well done, Tony!!!! You understand what I am looking for understanding that this is going to HELP YOU with the very difficult Part II of the various AACE Exams.
ReplyDeleteAnd great to see you commenting on your colleagues work as well, Lanre!!!
Tony, Lanre's comments are valid. Your STRUCTURE was awesome, but because it was done by an individual and not a group, you cannot help but have bias in your scoring models. Ideally, when you use this method, it is done using other tools, such as NOMINAL GROUP TECHNIQUE (See page 118 in your Memory Jogger II)
Bottom line- this a great start and I look forward to a few more great postings and I will appoint you as a Mentor......
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta