Problem Recognition / Identification
A company intends to execute a 6-month project and requires 250,000 man-hours to execute the project. Currently, the operations staffs in the company are about 250 personnel. The company will need to work out modalities of solving the pending challenge.
Root Cause Analysis
Due to the dynamism in the engineering design industry, it is not economically viable to recruit and maintain a large workforce of engineers without having firmed up prospects or contracts awarded for engineering job. This will mean maintaining a high overhead if there are no jobs. So the trend has been to maintain the minimal number of engineers to attend to the few jobs around and ‘body shop’ when bigger jobs come on board. That is the fundamental reason for the shortage of staff based on the economic situation.
Based on in-house calculation and considering the rate differentials (sick leave, holidays, annual leave),It was estimated that the productivity per person per day is 5 hours considering a standard 8 hour workday.
Scaling this up, the required man-hours per month will be 250,000/6 = 41,667 Man-hours / month
Using a standard 22 Days / month, required man-hours per day will be 41,667 / 22 = 1894 Man-hours /day
With a Nigerian productivity of 5 hrs of a standard 8 hr day, the company will need 380 engineers (1894/5hrs) to carry out the job assuming that the job is the same and the level of skills and productivity of the engineers are equal.
Development of Feasible Alternatives/Solutions
The following are the alternatives available to my company:
Alternative 1:– Recruit 380 engineers on a 6 month contract basis.
Alternative 2:– Take 200 Engineers from the existing pool and recruit 180 additional engineers on contract basis
Alternative 3: Recruit 380 engineers on full time basis
Alternative 4 – Subcontract the job to an engineering company with more resources.
Possible Outcomes and Cash Flow of Alternatives / Solutions
Alternative 1: From experience, hiring personnel on short term contract basis is usually more expensive for the company because most contract staff factor elements like pension, insurance and medicals. Secondly, the company will need to spend more money searching for this level of skilled personnel.
Alternative 2: Utilization of the existing staff will reduce the company’s overhead and will be good for the company. However, the company will need to spend money recruiting additional engineers on contract basis.
Alternative 3: Recruiting a total of 380 engineers on full time basis is a big risk to the company. This will mean that the company will spend a lot of money recruiting and will increase its overhead when there are no jobs for the employees.
Alternative 4: Subcontracting or outsourcing is a way of mitigating the operational stress by pushing the risk on another company and making a marginal profit on the entire contract. With this, the company does not expand and just makes a mark-up profit on the project.
Alternative 5: DO nothing
Selection Criteria / Attributes of best solution
- Operational Cost and Overhead
- Productivity
- Profitability
- Cost of Money
- Improved company profile, reputation and Technical capability.
Analysis and comparison of the Alternatives/Solutions
Analysing all the options available to my company, I am of the view that alternative 3 is the least preferable with the highest risk. The chances of another project commencing are 50 – 50. Should another project not be won at the completion of this project, the company runs a risk of being over-staffed and the company may opt for downsizing. It will be unfair to pick personnel out of their “comfort zones” only to later downsize them. Furthermore, the cost of funds that will be used to recruit and maintain the large work force will definitely increase the overhead of the company. This does not make economic sense.
Alternative 4 seems like a good option too. With this option, the risk is literally transferred to another company that will execute the project and my company will just make a marginal profit on it. The downside to this option is that the operation cost of outsourcing could eventually be more than what was anticipated. Secondly, the profit from the large project will dwindle as my company will just make a marginal profit. Thirdly, the company profile, reputation and technical capacity will remain the same since the company would not be bold enough to take up the challenge to execute the project themselves.
Alternative 5 is not good for the company. The company had earlier conducted a profitability analysis and discovered that the project is profitable. So no going ahead to execute the project means that the company is planning to run out of business.
Alternative 1 and 2 look like the preferred options for the company in this current situation, but considering the cost and overhead of recruiting 380 contract engineers, it will be better to settle for Alternative 2. With the choice of alternative 2, the company will reduce the company overhead
Best Alternative to be Selected
Based on the analyses of the options identified, I would recommend alternative 2 to my company as I am of the view that the second option will satisfy the set criteria above and will minimise risk and loss of money.
Performance Monitoring / Post evaluation
For performance monitoring and post evaluation of the old staff and newly recruited contract staff, the company will set up a small project management office (PMO) consisting of planners, project controllers and cost engineers. A performance measurement system (PMS) will be set up to calculate and monitor earned value by monitoring the planned value, actual cost spent( man-hours expended) and the actual accomplishment ( earned value).
References:
- AACE International. Skills & Knowledge of Cost Engineering, 5th Edition Revised.Chapter-9, pp.9.1-9.9 Edited by Dr. Scott J. Amos, PE. 2010. AACE International. Morgantown, WV, USA.
- Sulliven, W. G., Wicks, E.M., Koelling, C. P., et al. (2009). Engineering Economy (14th ed.), Chp 14 pp551 -570. New Jersey: Pearson Education.
- Brassard M, Ritter D. The memory Jogger 2. Tools for Continuous Improvement and Effective Planning.2010.
EXCELLENT,John and many thanks for helping him out, Lanre!!!!
ReplyDeleteJohn, work together with Lanre on a few more then see if you can do one on your own....
But you are definitely headed in the right direction now....
Keep this up and you will be in great shape...
BR,
Dr. PDG, back in Jakarta